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XFL:  Success or Flop?
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By Paul Herzog

I’ve gone on the record as stating that that XFL was a bad idea, a bad use of the money gained from their IPO, and an eventual profit drain that will cause shareholders to force WWFE to drop the league.  After one week, I’m a little more open-minded.  I’m not quite converted.  But I’m there enough to come up with three reasons why I think the XFL will end up a long-term (anything longer than three seasons) success.  Of course, since I’m not fully on the bandwagon, I’ll balance it out with three reasons why it won’t work.

YUP, THIS IS THE GREATEST DAMN THING EVER

1)  They’ve delivered what they promised

They said they’d have new rules, designed to make the game more hard-hitting.  They said there’d be hot cheerleaders in skimpy outfits.  They said there’d be a new television presentation, with all-access coverage that never has been shown before.  On all of those points, the XFL has delivered.  With a few weeks worth of execution to iron the bugs out, I think the production will go smoothly.  The camera angles are strange to an experienced football fan’s eye, but again, with some time for the producers to see what works and what doesn’t, it’ll be just fine.  The on-field camera is a stroke of genius.

2)      Expectations aren’t incredibly high

NBC isn’t looking for their own NFL, something to dominate the sports world and take America by storm.  Vince McMahon isn’t looking to take over a new industry, at least not that he’ll admit.  It’s just something to entertain on Saturday nights and Sunday afternoons, while there isn’t any other football and basketball and hockey are in second-half lulls before the playoffs.

 3)      Costs are controlled

This is the big point from my perspective, the deal I didn’t know that was going to separate the XFL’s operation from other sports leagues that have started up over the last thirty years.  Nobody got paid from the time they signed their contracts until last Saturday.  It may be incredibly unfair when compared to guaranteed salaries in other sports, but it fits right in line with the old “you don’t work, you don’t get paid” mentality of professional wrestling.  The most anyone can make at this is approximately $100,000, and that’s the quarterback for the championship team.  Every other league (from the old WFL to the current Major League Soccer) have fallen into the same trap, where in order to draw attention to themselves, they sign name-brand players for money that puts them way over budget.  If they can draw 20,000 fans a game at $25/ticket, that’s half a million per game, which more than covers the costs of all personnel for both teams.

GET YOUR SOUVENIRS NOW, CAUSE THE FAT LADY’S WARMING UP

1)      They can’t play

I mean, they really can’t play.  Some games were close, some weren’t, but none of them had anyone who would make a football fan want to tune in.  What the NBA has sold so well in the David Stern era is the athletic ability of the performers.  Every sport needs to sell the fact that their audience can tune in to see great athletes doing things nobody else can do.  The quality of play in the XFL will most likely improve as the season goes on, but these will always be players who have not only been rejected by the NFL, but also like the World League and most likely Arena Football as well (both of whom pay better than the XFL).  I don't go out of my way to watch minor-league baseball and high-school basketball, and I won’t do it for bad football.

2)      They can’t entertain

Ah, but you say, “Zog, you dope, Vince McMahon has never sold athletic competition.  He sells entertainment.”  So let’s look at the XFL players as entertainers.  When the Las Vegas Outlaws introduced themselves on the field, most of them stumbled through that five seconds of camera time.  They had an extended promo for Ryan Clement, complete with double-entendre talking cheerleader babe, and he staggered through it.  Nicknames on the backs of jerseys belong in fraternity intramural leagues.  The idea of trash talk may appeal to some, but there’s only been a handful of athletes in the history of competition who were regularly entertaining with it.  None of those men are currently on XFL rosters, nor will be in the near future.  Sideline and locker room mics picked up coaches and players at their sports clichéd or jargon-packed worst.  If this is sports entertainment, what we’ve got is a promotion filled with guys who talk like Hardcore Holly.

3)      They’re a square peg in a round hole

And herein lies my initial beef.  They aren’t good enough at competition to be pure sport, not good enough at the other stuff to be sports entertainment.  The XFL is just in the middle enough to alienate large sections of both of their target audiences.  I don’t believe there’s a big crossover between “watch anything” football fans and wrestling fans.  If there was, there’d be bigger swings in the Monday Night ratings depending on what game was on and what PPV we were building to.  Without a solid core audience, all that’s left is a group of folks tuning in for the hype.  And as good as Vince McMahon is at hype, that won’t carry the kind of ratings and attendance expected from the XFL on a long-term basis.

Paul Herzog has spent far too many hours as a columnist for various Internet sources, and the Wrestling Lariat newsletter, over the past six years. He is a systems engineer at Tellabs in Bolingbrook, Illinois, and is lucky to have a wife that likes the wrestling business, too. He can be reached at grapsfan@worldnet.att.net.

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